Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG: prediction, form and kick-off time
Our model makes Atletico Paranaense the likelier winner, at 49% Atletico Paranaense, 27% draw and 24% Atletico-MG. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, from a model fitted on 1787 matches.
Our forecast
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
- Expected goals 1.54 v 1.02
- Both teams to score 51%
- Over 2.5 goals 47%
Most likely scorelines
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1 Atletico-MG | 12.7% |
| 2 | Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Atletico-MG | 11.2% |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Atletico-MG | 9.4% |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense 2 - 0 Atletico-MG | 9.1% |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense 0 - 0 Atletico-MG | 8.3% |
Form going in
- Atletico Paranaense DLDWD3-3, 1-3, 3-3, 3-2, 1-1
- Atletico-MG WLWDW3-1, 0-2, 2-1, 0-0, 3-0
Most recent result first. Atletico Paranaense last played Coritiba and drew 3-3. Atletico-MG beat Fluminense 3-1.
Previous meetings
- Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense5 Apr 2026
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