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Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction, form and kick-off time
Our model makes Gremio the likelier winner, at 39% Gremio, 28% draw and 33% Atletico Paranaense. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, from a model fitted on 1797 matches.
Our forecast
Gremio 39%Draw 28%Atletico Paranaense 33%
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
- Expected goals 1.36 v 1.23
- Both teams to score 53%
- Over 2.5 goals 48%
Most likely scorelines
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio 1 - 1 Atletico Paranaense | 13.2% |
| 2 | Gremio 1 - 0 Atletico Paranaense | 9.6% |
| 3 | Gremio 0 - 1 Atletico Paranaense | 8.6% |
| 4 | Gremio 2 - 1 Atletico Paranaense | 8.5% |
| 5 | Gremio 0 - 0 Atletico Paranaense | 8.2% |
Form going in
- Gremio DLLLW0-0, 2-3, 1-2, 0-1, 3-1
- Atletico Paranaense WDLDW2-1, 3-3, 1-3, 3-3, 3-2
Most recent result first. Gremio last played Palmeiras and drew 0-0. Atletico Paranaense beat Bahia 2-1.
Previous meetings
- Atletico Paranaense 0 - 0 Gremio2 May 2026
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