Our model makes Toluca the likelier winner, at 25% Leon, 25% draw and 50% Toluca. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, from a model fitted on 1429 matches.
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leon 1 - 1 Toluca | 11.9% |
| 2 | Leon 1 - 2 Toluca | 9.6% |
| 3 | Leon 0 - 1 Toluca | 8.6% |
| 4 | Leon 0 - 2 Toluca | 8.2% |
| 5 | Leon 2 - 1 Toluca | 6.5% |
Most recent result first. Leon last played Atletico San Luis and won 2-0. Toluca beat Puebla 1-0.
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