Palmeiras vs Corinthians: prediction, form and kick-off time
Our model makes Palmeiras the likelier winner, at 59% Palmeiras, 25% draw and 16% Corinthians. The most likely single scoreline is 1-0, from a model fitted on 1787 matches.
Our forecast
Palmeiras 59%Draw 25%Corinthians 16%
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
- Expected goals 1.64 v 0.71
- Both teams to score 41%
- Over 2.5 goals 42%
Most likely scorelines
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras 1 - 0 Corinthians | 15.1% |
| 2 | Palmeiras 2 - 0 Corinthians | 12.8% |
| 3 | Palmeiras 1 - 1 Corinthians | 11.6% |
| 4 | Palmeiras 0 - 0 Corinthians | 10.1% |
| 5 | Palmeiras 2 - 1 Corinthians | 9.1% |
Form going in
- Palmeiras WDDWL2-0, 0-0, 1-1, 4-1, 2-3
- Corinthians LLLLL1-2, 1-2, 0-1, 1-2, 1-2
Most recent result first. Palmeiras last played Sao Paulo and won 2-0. Corinthians lost to Flamengo 1-2.
Previous meetings
- Corinthians 0 - 0 Palmeiras12 Apr 2026
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