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Sao Paulo vs Corinthians: prediction, form and kick-off time
Our model makes Sao Paulo the likelier winner, at 49% Sao Paulo, 28% draw and 23% Corinthians. The most likely single scoreline is 1-0, from a model fitted on 1797 matches.
Our forecast
Sao Paulo 49%Draw 28%Corinthians 23%
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
- Expected goals 1.44 v 0.89
- Both teams to score 46%
- Over 2.5 goals 41%
Most likely scorelines
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Corinthians | 13.4% |
| 2 | Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Corinthians | 13.1% |
| 3 | Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Corinthians | 10.4% |
| 4 | Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Corinthians | 10.1% |
| 5 | Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Corinthians | 9% |
Form going in
- Sao Paulo WLWWL1-0, 0-2, 2-0, 2-1, 0-1
- Corinthians LLLLL1-3, 1-2, 1-2, 0-1, 1-2
Most recent result first. Sao Paulo last played Internacional and won 1-0. Corinthians lost to Fluminense 1-3.
Previous meetings
- Corinthians 3 - 2 Sao Paulo10 May 2026
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