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Sao Paulo vs Fluminense: prediction, form and kick-off time
Our model makes Sao Paulo the likelier winner, at 41% Sao Paulo, 29% draw and 30% Fluminense. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, from a model fitted on 1819 matches.
Our forecast
Sao Paulo 41%Draw 29%Fluminense 30%
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
- Expected goals 1.33 v 1.12
- Both teams to score 50%
- Over 2.5 goals 44%
Most likely scorelines
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Fluminense | 13.6% |
| 2 | Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Fluminense | 10.7% |
| 3 | Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Fluminense | 9.4% |
| 4 | Sao Paulo 0 - 1 Fluminense | 8.9% |
| 5 | Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Fluminense | 8.6% |
Form going in
- Sao Paulo WLLWL2-1, 0-2, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2
- Fluminense LWWLW0-1, 4-0, 3-1, 1-3, 1-0
Most recent result first. Sao Paulo last played Vitoria and won 2-1. Fluminense lost to Flamengo 0-1.
Previous meetings
- Fluminense 2 - 1 Sao Paulo16 May 2026
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