Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction, form and kick-off time
Our model makes Sao Paulo the likelier winner, at 57% Sao Paulo, 24% draw and 19% Vasco DA Gama. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, from a model fitted on 1787 matches.
Our forecast
Sao Paulo 57%Draw 24%Vasco DA Gama 19%
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
- Expected goals 1.81 v 0.97
- Both teams to score 53%
- Over 2.5 goals 53%
Most likely scorelines
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama | 11.4% |
| 2 | Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama | 10.6% |
| 3 | Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Vasco DA Gama | 10.1% |
| 4 | Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama | 9.9% |
| 5 | Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Vasco DA Gama | 6.7% |
Form going in
- Sao Paulo LWWLD0-2, 2-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-1
- Vasco DA Gama WLWLL2-1, 0-1, 3-1, 1-4, 0-3
Most recent result first. Sao Paulo last played Palmeiras and lost 0-2. Vasco DA Gama beat Gremio 2-1.
Previous meetings
- Vasco DA Gama 2 - 1 Sao Paulo18 Apr 2026
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