Our model makes Ajax the likelier winner, at 46% Ajax, 26% draw and 28% AZ Alkmaar. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, from a model fitted on 1338 matches.
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ajax 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar | 12.2% |
| 2 | Ajax 2 - 1 AZ Alkmaar | 9.4% |
| 3 | Ajax 2 - 0 AZ Alkmaar | 7.3% |
| 4 | Ajax 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar | 7.1% |
| 5 | Ajax 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar | 7.1% |
Most recent result first. Ajax last played Excelsior and drew 2-2. AZ Alkmaar beat Telstar 1-0.
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