Burnley vs Derby: prediction, form and kick-off time
Our model makes Burnley the likelier winner, at 47% Burnley, 27% draw and 26% Derby. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, from a model fitted on 2312 matches.
Our forecast
Burnley 47%Draw 27%Derby 26%
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
- Expected goals 1.56 v 1.10
- Both teams to score 54%
- Over 2.5 goals 50%
Most likely scorelines
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burnley 1 - 1 Derby | 13% |
| 2 | Burnley 1 - 0 Derby | 10% |
| 3 | Burnley 2 - 1 Derby | 9.4% |
| 4 | Burnley 2 - 0 Derby | 8.5% |
| 5 | Burnley 0 - 0 Derby | 7.9% |
Form going in
Most recent result first. Burnley last played Swansea and lost 1-3. Derby lost to Birmingham 1-2.
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