Derby vs Stoke City: prediction, form and kick-off time
Our model makes Derby the likelier winner, at 39% Derby, 30% draw and 31% Stoke City. The most likely single scoreline is 1-1, from a model fitted on 2312 matches.
Our forecast
Derby 39%Draw 30%Stoke City 31%
This is ScoreNow's own model, not a bookmaker price and not a provider feed. It is fitted on our recorded results across every league we follow, so a club is rated against the standard of the football it actually plays.
- Expected goals 1.27 v 1.10
- Both teams to score 49%
- Over 2.5 goals 42%
Most likely scorelines
| # | Scoreline | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derby 1 - 1 Stoke City | 14.1% |
| 2 | Derby 1 - 0 Stoke City | 10.9% |
| 3 | Derby 0 - 0 Stoke City | 10.4% |
| 4 | Derby 0 - 1 Stoke City | 9.2% |
| 5 | Derby 2 - 1 Stoke City | 8.3% |
Form going in
- Derby LLLWL1-2, 0-1, 0-3, 2-0, 0-3
- Stoke City WWDWW2-1, 2-1, 1-1, 4-0, 1-0
Most recent result first. Derby last played Birmingham and lost 1-2. Stoke City beat Sheffield Utd 2-1.
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